MLB: Betting Baseball's Trendy Ideas
It's a Wednesday, a number of baseball teams are going to be on the move after today and the NFL Preseason is about to start in earnest.
2008-08-06
It's a Wednesday, a number of baseball teams are going to be on the move after today and the NFL Preseason is about to start in earnest. With bettor's attention finally starting to be pulled in many different directions, being able to grasp useful information quickly is important. Here is a look at today's top trends and how they might directly impact the major league baseball action.
MINNESOTA is 11-0 (+12.9 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last three games this season.
The Twins have lost two in a row in Seattle of all places and being swept by the Mariners would be a sickly setback for a team with true division and wild card aspirations. Who would have ever guessed one baseball's worst offensive teams would hit a stretch where they would average 12 hits a contest over 11 games! Sportsbook.com has Minnesota as -120 favorites and has won these games by average of 3.7 runs per game.
TAMPA BAY is 23-2 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season.
One of the great stories of 2008 is how Tampa Bay has completely turned around this dormant franchise and has proven to be a serious contender in the American League. While some teams fail to wear the role of solid favorites well, the Rays have thrived in it and seek another rare win over Cleveland.
NY YANKEES are 6-18 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season.
After winning eight in a row to pull back into contention in the AL East and wild card picture, the New York Yankees have given half of that streak back with 3-7 mark in last 10 games. Playing in baseball's equivalent of a slow-pitch power hitting team in a band-box (Texas), means runs are plentiful, which has not worked in the Yanks favor very often in 2008, with double digit totals.
SAN DIEGO is 3-17 (-17 Units) against the money line after a one run loss this season.
San Diego and losing has been redundant in 2008 and even they have not accepted losing close games well, being drilled by 2.3 runs per game after dropping a nail-biter.
PITTSBURGH is 1-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.
Few might realize Pittsburgh is actually third in the National League in scoring this season, still being in usual position of last place. What's the problem for the Pirates, maybe pitching has something to do with it. They have allowed exactly 163 more runs than the Chicago Cubs and free-swinging teams like Arizona have been especially bothersome on the road.
DETROIT is 7-23 (-18.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.
Now on a five game losing streak, it's becoming abundantly clear this Detroit club is going nowhere this year. As this angle shows, despite a bevy of sluggers, good pitching does stop good hitting.
FLORIDA is 16-2 OVER in road games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season.
The Marlins are much like the humidity in the Sunshine State, they score runs, give up runs and make opposing teams and fans sweat. Just two games behind today's foe Philadelphia, the Marlins are also 19-4 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season and are baseball's best bet to play OVER.
TORONTO is 18-2 UNDER after three straight games with no home runs over the last two seasons.
Nobody will ever accuse this Toronto team of being the 1927 Yankees, what the heck, any episode of TMZ.com on television is more offensive than the Blue Jays. The team with the fewest home runs in the American League is a 90 percent sure bet in this circumstance.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX are 8-0 (+10 Units) against the run line at home after a game where they had six or more extra base hits this season.
The White Sox got the miracle they needed to cling to one game lead over Minnesota in the AL Central, scoring four runs in the bottom of the 14th inning to overcome two-run deficit against Detroit. The Pale Hose banged out 16 hits, including seven of the extra base variety. Chicago has gone on in next outing to win by almost four runs a game (3.9).
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